GBTT | Great British Think Tank

The decline doesn't care who you vote for

Sickness-benefit claims have more than doubled since 2019 — by roughly the same amount in safe Labour seats and safe Tory ones. Find your constituency, and clip the card.

PIP caseload, Jan 2019 to Jan 2026 · DWP Stat-Xplore

-PIP growth, Labour seats

-PIP growth, Tory seats

-Seats, England & Wales

-Reform target seats

The battlefield, ranked

Every seat below is one Reform won in 2024 or finished within striking distance of winning. Ranked by how few votes separate Reform from first place. Click any row to load its card.

Seat	Held by	Win share	Reform gap	Swing

Sources & method: